USM Ait Melloul vs Rachad Bernoussi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
20.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
USM Ait Melloul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
UST
1 - 0
USM
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
USM
2 - 1
ROZ
34%
29%
37%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ODC
0 - 0
USM
39%
30%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
USM
2 - 0
JSM
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
ITT
0 - 0
USM
43%
29%
27%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rachad Bernoussi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
RAC
0 - 1
MOU
28%
30%
43%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
SID
0 - 0
RAC
47%
28%
26%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
RAC
2 - 2
WYD
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ASS
1 - 1
RAC
58%
24%
18%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
UST
2 - 2
RAC
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |