US Breno vs Arconatese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-72%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Breno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
USB
19%
21%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
USB
2 - 1
NOV
68%
17%
15%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2021 |
USB
5 - 1
ADR
53%
22%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
VCB
2 - 2
USB
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
USB
1 - 1
SON
58%
20%
22%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Arconatese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2022 |
ARC
0 - 1
CRE
58%
21%
21%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARC
58%
20%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
ARC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 2
ARC
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
ARC
0 - 1
CAL
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |