Avellino vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.5%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 0
CES
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CRO
3 - 2
AVE
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
AVE
2 - 1
JUS
57%
24%
20%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
0 - 2
AVE
54%
24%
21%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
AVE
0 - 2
PAL
28%
28%
44%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
SAL
1 - 0
FRO
35%
27%
38%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
FRO
2 - 0
ASG
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
ACP
3 - 3
FRO
31%
29%
40%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
FRO
16%
23%
61%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
FRO
0 - 0
BEN
41%
26%
34%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |