Ursus Warszawa vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
NPO
2 - 1
UWA
18%
22%
59%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 2
POL
10%
20%
70%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
0 - 1
BRA
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
WDZ
0 - 1
UWA
21%
23%
56%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
UWA
1 - 0
WSI
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
3 - 1
WDZ
70%
18%
12%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
WSI
1 - 1
SWI
48%
24%
28%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
1 - 1
PEL
28%
26%
46%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
LWA
1 - 2
SWI
54%
22%
24%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
SWI
2 - 2
PGM
44%
26%
31%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | 0 |