Urozhay vs Rotor Volgograd II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
17.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+176%
+61%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
3º
11º
5º
30
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 64 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 16 |
9º
|
88% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 14 |
10º
|
88% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 14 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Urozhay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
ATO
0 - 1
URO
85%
10%
5%
|
21 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
MET
3 - 2
URO
8%
13%
79%
|
22 | 9 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
URO
2 - 1
ATO
9%
14%
77%
|
16 | 47 | 31 | +6 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKS
0 - 2
URO
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
YEL
4 - 1
URO
33%
21%
46%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rotor Volgograd II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ROT
1 - 4
ORE
28%
22%
51%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
BGU
0 - 1
ROT
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
ROT
0 - 0
LOK
4%
13%
83%
|
19 | 52 | 33 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MET
3 - 2
ROT
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 46 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
AVA
1 - 2
ROT
9%
15%
76%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |