Ureña vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
URE
3 - 3
LOT
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
UAS
1 - 1
URE
52%
23%
25%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
URE
1 - 0
ZAM
57%
23%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
POR
3 - 0
URE
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
URE
2 - 1
BOL
56%
23%
22%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
LAR
1 - 1
LLA
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 4
LAR
44%
26%
30%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
3 - 3
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
UAS
3 - 1
LAR
50%
24%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
LAR
2 - 1
ZAM
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |