Ureña vs Policia de Lara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
URE
1 - 1
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
CDS
1 - 0
URE
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
URE
2 - 1
MET
30%
28%
43%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 0
URE
62%
23%
15%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Policia de Lara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
CDS
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
MET
2 - 2
POL
72%
18%
10%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
CAR
29%
26%
46%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
DEP
2 - 1
POL
31%
25%
45%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
URE
3 - 1
POL
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |