Univ. Queensland vs Mitchelton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
64.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
0 - 4
IPS
41%
22%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
4 - 0
UNI
81%
13%
6%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 1
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ALB
1 - 2
UNI
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 2
PEN
6%
14%
80%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | +5 |
Matches
Mitchelton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
CAP
67%
18%
15%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
IPS
1 - 4
MIT
24%
22%
55%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MIT
1 - 4
QUE
28%
21%
51%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
MIT
5 - 3
EAS
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HPH
0 - 1
MIT
54%
21%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |