U. Católica vs Oriente Petrolero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 0
UCO
10%
21%
69%
|
78 | 52 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
MIN
1 - 1
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
COL
2 - 0
UCO
59%
21%
20%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
UCO
6 - 0
MIN
89%
9%
2%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
UCO
6 - 0
MIN
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Oriente Petrolero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1997 |
CCP
2 - 1
OPE
55%
26%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1997 |
GUA
0 - 0
OPE
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1997 |
BOL
3 - 3
OPE
75%
15%
10%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1997 |
OPE
1 - 0
CCP
41%
25%
34%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 1997 |
OPE
4 - 1
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |