U. Católica vs Colo-Colo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
25.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
HUA
0 - 1
UCO
47%
24%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LIB
1 - 0
UCO
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
5 - 0
OHI
55%
23%
23%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
2 - 0
COB
58%
21%
20%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
UCO
3 - 1
ULC
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Colo-Colo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
COL
22%
25%
53%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
ULC
58%
22%
20%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
COL
3 - 0
COQ
80%
14%
6%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
COQ
1 - 1
COL
16%
20%
64%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
ANT
0 - 1
COL
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |