CDU Malacitano vs Águilas FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.6%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
4º
3º
70
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 34 |
12º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 100% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CDU Malacitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
0 - 0
LOR
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
MSM
1 - 1
LAU
21%
23%
56%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 1
PUL
49%
24%
27%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
EGP
1 - 2
LAU
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
LAU
3 - 0
ALC
79%
15%
7%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Águilas FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CIE
0 - 1
AGU
18%
24%
58%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
LOR
1 - 1
AGU
25%
25%
50%
|
45 | 29 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
MSM
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PUL
1 - 1
AGU
22%
29%
49%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 0
EGP
78%
15%
7%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |