Union Tornesch vs Türkiye Wilhelmsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.1%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
15%
12.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
32
11º
18º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ATB
2 - 2
UTO
46%
20%
34%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
SAS
9%
14%
77%
|
21 | 45 | 24 | +3 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
2 - 3
RUG
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
WAN
5 - 3
UTO
62%
19%
19%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 0
BUC
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Türkiye Wilhelmsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 3
WAN
21%
19%
60%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
BUC
2 - 1
WIL
74%
14%
12%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
DNB
4 - 0
WIL
38%
22%
40%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 4
SUD
17%
17%
66%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
WIL
0 - 3
ALT
15%
18%
68%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |