Union Tornesch vs ETSV Hamburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.6%
Win probability
3.05
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
10.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
15º
18º
17º
60
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
82.5% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
56 | 56 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 48 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 46 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
46 | 46 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
42 | 42 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
39 | 39 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
24 | 24 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Tornesch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
NIE
3 - 1
UTO
83%
11%
6%
|
22 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 5
DAS
9%
14%
78%
|
23 | 47 | 24 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
THA
4 - 0
UTO
51%
22%
27%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2023 |
UTO
1 - 3
DAS
11%
16%
73%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 2
UTO
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ETSV Hamburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
ETH
2 - 2
WAN
9%
13%
78%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
BUC
4 - 2
ETH
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
ETH
3 - 0
PAL
5%
12%
83%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +7 |