Union el Rastro vs Aviación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
25%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union el Rastro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
1 - 6
URU
46%
20%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
CAB
2 - 3
URU
50%
20%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
URU
2 - 2
PEU
33%
22%
45%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
CDK
5 - 0
URU
54%
20%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
UMN
3 - 3
URU
46%
21%
34%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
AVC
5 - 2
ILV
41%
22%
37%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CDB
5 - 0
AVC
76%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 2
CDA
26%
22%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
AVC
1 - 1
ALB
38%
22%
40%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ESC
2 - 4
AVC
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |