Union Omaha vs Chattanooga Red Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
4º
11º
3º
27
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
4º
|
25 | 53 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 51 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
14 | 48 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
|
2º
|
27 | 48 |
4º
|
13.5% | |
|
1º
|
29 | 47 |
5º
|
15.5% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 44 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
13 | 41 |
7º
|
10.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 40 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 40 |
9º
|
17% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 38 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 36 |
11º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 35 |
12º
|
20% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 30 |
13º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 28 |
14º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
94.5% | 96.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
5.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Omaha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
OMA
1 - 2
TOR
80%
14%
6%
|
75 | 49 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
CHA
1 - 2
OMA
29%
26%
45%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
AVA
2 - 1
OMA
22%
25%
54%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2025 |
OMA
3 - 4
RIC
77%
16%
7%
|
75 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2025 |
PHP
3 - 1
OMA
21%
24%
55%
|
75 | 21 | 54 | 0 |
Matches
Chattanooga Red Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
3 - 0
SPV
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
1 - 1
TFC
80%
13%
7%
|
52 | 20 | 32 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
RIC
0 - 2
CRW
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CRW
1 - 0
OKS
44%
26%
31%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 2025 |
GTR
3 - 1
CRW
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |