Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
29.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 2
JUN
28%
30%
43%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
EQU
0 - 0
UNI
55%
26%
20%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
23%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
UNI
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PAT
3 - 0
FOR
35%
30%
34%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
UNI
55%
23%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LEO
2 - 2
FOR
35%
31%
35%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
CUC
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |