Unión Magdalena vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
35%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
0 - 3
LEO
49%
27%
25%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 2
UNI
44%
28%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
1 - 2
PER
37%
28%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
UNI
2 - 1
TFC
60%
24%
17%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
PER
4 - 0
FOR
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
PER
40%
28%
32%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 2
UNI
51%
27%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 3
FOR
44%
29%
27%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -2 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BOG
0 - 0
FOR
23%
27%
51%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |