Lara FC vs UA Trujillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 2
ANG
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
UCL
71%
19%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
ITA
1 - 2
LAR
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
TUR
1 - 2
LAR
24%
25%
51%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
UA Trujillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
TRU
2 - 1
ITA
39%
25%
36%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
ZUL
2 - 1
TRU
67%
20%
13%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
CAR
1 - 1
TRU
32%
26%
42%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
TRU
55%
24%
22%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2008 |
TRU
1 - 0
UCL
74%
16%
10%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |