Lara FC vs Guatire analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
43.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 1
LAR
63%
21%
16%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
POR
28%
26%
46%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDS
4 - 1
LAR
41%
26%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
LAR
0 - 1
ANG
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
LOT
2 - 2
LAR
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Guatire
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2012 |
GUA
2 - 2
LOT
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 2
CDS
60%
22%
18%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SCG
2 - 2
GUA
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
GUA
1 - 0
UCV
67%
20%
13%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
GUA
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |