Unión Comercial vs Boal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
21.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
TUR
3 - 1
COM
50%
22%
28%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
VAL
3 - 2
COM
41%
25%
34%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
COM
1 - 1
PCF
68%
19%
14%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
COM
2 - 0
TIN
62%
21%
17%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
SIE
3 - 1
COM
31%
24%
45%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Boal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 2
PCF
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 3
SIE
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 0
CAM
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
MOS
4 - 0
BOA
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
BOA
1 - 2
MUR
44%
24%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |