Falcon vs Zamora II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 3
FAL
48%
26%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 2
POL
60%
22%
18%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
ARR
0 - 1
FAL
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FAL
1 - 0
URE
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 1
ULA
47%
25%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Zamora II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
ULA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
CDS
1 - 1
ZAM
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 0
LOT
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
GVA
1 - 2
ZAM
58%
23%
19%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
URE
1 - 2
ZAM
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |