Falcon vs ULA Mérida analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.9%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
CDS
0 - 1
FAL
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
FAL
0 - 2
LOT
61%
21%
18%
|
52 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
FAL
0 - 0
MAR
59%
22%
20%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2007 |
FAL
0 - 2
ZUL
42%
24%
34%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
ULA Mérida
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ULA
1 - 0
URE
63%
21%
16%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
ULA
2 - 0
CDS
60%
21%
19%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
ULA
4 - 3
DEP
66%
20%
15%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2012 |
SCG
3 - 0
ULA
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
ULA
3 - 0
ZAM
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |