Falcon vs Monagas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.2%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
ESC
31%
26%
43%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
DIA
2 - 0
FAL
47%
24%
29%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FAL
3 - 3
YAR
32%
26%
42%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
POL
1 - 1
FAL
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Monagas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
POL
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
2 - 3
MON
42%
26%
32%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MON
2 - 1
URE
47%
27%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
ESC
2 - 0
MON
57%
23%
20%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
MIN
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | +1 |