Atlético Cearense vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.7%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
65.3%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.9%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.3%
0-3
8.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atlético Cearense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 3
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
CAM
4 - 0
UNI
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 2
CEA
11%
19%
70%
|
37 | 66 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 2
SAN
7%
15%
78%
|
37 | 73 | 36 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
UNI
2 - 3
MAR
37%
26%
38%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
23%
26%
52%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
26%
25%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
NAU
0 - 0
CAM
74%
18%
9%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |