União São João vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
24.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União São João
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 0
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
GRÊ
1 - 1
UNI
63%
21%
16%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
0 - 1
RBB
44%
23%
33%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 0
CAT
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2011 |
COM
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
37%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
MON
0 - 3
SAN
27%
22%
51%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
PEN
42%
24%
34%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 2
MON
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
CAT
2 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 4
XVD
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | -1 |