União Santarém vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
42.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 1
USA
27%
21%
52%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
LOU
0 - 3
USA
14%
18%
69%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
ALV
3 - 0
USA
76%
16%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
USA
2 - 3
CON
32%
22%
46%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2020 |
CAL
4 - 0
LOU
87%
10%
3%
|
37 | 13 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
ALM
1 - 3
CAL
16%
20%
64%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 3
SAC
60%
22%
18%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 1
SPC
10%
19%
72%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 1
CAL
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |