URT vs Itumbiara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
21.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
URT
28%
27%
45%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ATM
1 - 0
URT
88%
10%
2%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
URT
2 - 0
BOA
22%
27%
52%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
CRZ
3 - 0
URT
83%
13%
4%
|
51 | 86 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
URT
1 - 0
TOM
30%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Itumbiara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 2
MAC
34%
27%
40%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
2 - 1
APA
24%
25%
51%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
51%
25%
25%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ANA
2 - 0
ITU
45%
26%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2018 |
ITU
0 - 1
VIL
12%
21%
67%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |