URT vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
54.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
BRA
1 - 1
URT
64%
22%
14%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2019 |
SER
0 - 0
URT
55%
23%
21%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 0
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2019 |
URT
0 - 1
BRA
32%
27%
41%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 0
URT
67%
21%
12%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
ITU
4 - 0
SER
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2019 |
BRA
0 - 0
ITU
29%
28%
43%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 1
BRA
61%
24%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
SER
1 - 5
ITU
26%
27%
47%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
ITU
1 - 0
URT
67%
21%
12%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | -1 |