URT vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
33.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
AME
4 - 2
URT
59%
22%
20%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
URT
2 - 1
FEC
48%
25%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
URT
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
URT
1 - 0
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FEC
4 - 0
URT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 0
ARA
42%
25%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
2 - 3
PDC
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AME
1 - 0
DEM
53%
23%
24%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2009 |
DEM
3 - 1
AME
34%
25%
42%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PDC
1 - 1
DEM
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |