URT vs Caldense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
44.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ATM
4 - 0
URT
86%
11%
3%
|
47 | 86 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
URT
2 - 0
GUA
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
TOM
2 - 1
URT
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
DEM
1 - 0
URT
48%
25%
27%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
URT
0 - 0
VIL
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caldense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
DEM
0 - 1
CAL
29%
28%
44%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 0
ATM
13%
24%
63%
|
58 | 86 | 28 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 1
TUP
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
AMF
0 - 0
CAL
74%
17%
9%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
GUA
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |