União Montemor vs FC Castrense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-64%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
LAG
0 - 0
UNI
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
MOU
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 2
UNI
58%
21%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
RIB
6 - 0
UNI
72%
18%
11%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 1
LUS
17%
23%
61%
|
34 | 57 | 23 | +1 |
Matches
FC Castrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
MOU
7 - 1
FCC
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
1 - 2
LUS
15%
22%
64%
|
26 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
FCC
54%
22%
24%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
FCC
2 - 3
VAS
44%
24%
33%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |