União Mogi vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União Mogi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
0 - 5
GRÊ
13%
19%
68%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
SEP
4 - 0
UNI
79%
14%
8%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
UNI
2 - 3
GRE
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FRA
1 - 0
UNI
79%
14%
7%
|
17 | 57 | 40 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
INT
5 - 1
UNI
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 40 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 2
XVD
22%
23%
55%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2009 |
XVD
0 - 0
OSV
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
ITA
2 - 1
XVD
28%
24%
48%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
NAC
0 - 0
XVD
23%
23%
54%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
XVD
0 - 2
VFC
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | -1 |