União de Leiria vs Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
União de Leiria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ALC
1 - 2
UDL
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
ATL
73%
18%
9%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
TIR
1 - 1
UDL
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ELE
0 - 1
UDL
27%
26%
48%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
UDL
2 - 0
FAT
66%
21%
13%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 4
CAL
28%
26%
47%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 0
FAT
47%
27%
26%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SAN
57%
25%
19%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
0 - 0
CAL
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
CAL
1 - 1
SER
26%
26%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | 0 |