UNDEBA vs SUBT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
29.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UNDEBA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
UND
0 - 0
VIC
51%
23%
26%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
UND
46%
24%
31%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2011 |
UND
0 - 3
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
UND
2 - 3
SVV
51%
24%
26%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2010 |
HOL
2 - 1
UND
52%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
SUBT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2011 |
HOL
1 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
28%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
SUB
2 - 1
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2011 |
HUB
3 - 1
SUB
49%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
SIT
1 - 1
SUB
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2010 |
SUB
2 - 3
DOM
45%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |