Umuarama vs Morrinhos FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
64.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 3
GOI
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
IPO
3 - 2
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 0
UMU
86%
10%
4%
|
10 | 50 | 40 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 1
MIN
10%
18%
72%
|
8 | 53 | 45 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
ANA
3 - 2
UMU
80%
13%
7%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Morrinhos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 1
MIN
36%
24%
40%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 0
MOR
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 0
IPO
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 3
MOR
17%
21%
62%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
GOI
41%
24%
36%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +2 |