Umuarama vs Caldas Novas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
63.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 0
UMU
45%
23%
32%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 3
APA
59%
21%
21%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 0
MOR
16%
20%
64%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | +9 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
UMU
2 - 3
GOI
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 45 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Caldas Novas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
1 - 1
CNO
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
2 - 0
IPO
45%
24%
31%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 26 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
3 - 0
UMU
74%
16%
10%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2013 |
APA
2 - 4
CNO
18%
20%
62%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2013 |
CNO
0 - 0
TRI
28%
24%
48%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |