UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
8º
8º
20
9º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
29 | 29 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
28 | 28 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
26 | 26 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
20 | 20 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 10 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
UME
74%
17%
8%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2024 |
CHO
1 - 0
UME
57%
25%
18%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
SUN
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
UME
3 - 2
AZU
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SFF
0 - 0
UME
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COS
1 - 0
SMI
41%
28%
31%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 3
AFC
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TAU
1 - 0
SMI
45%
28%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
SMI
1 - 1
AMA
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
SMI
2 - 2
ARA
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |