UMECIT vs Sporting San Miguelito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
7º
11º
11º
28
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 37 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
28 | 31 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 26 |
4º
|
65% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 25 |
5º
|
47% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
71% | |
|
7º
|
23 | 23 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
21 | 21 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 0
AMA
19%
27%
55%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
UME
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
UME
1 - 2
AZU
26%
27%
48%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
UME
0 - 2
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2023 |
CHI
1 - 4
UME
40%
29%
31%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Sporting San Miguelito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 0
SFF
65%
22%
13%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 1
COS
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
AMA
4 - 2
SMI
43%
30%
28%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 0
SMI
32%
31%
37%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SMI
2 - 1
ARA
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |