UMECIT vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
9º
31
1º
5º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
UME
1 - 0
SFF
28%
29%
44%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SFF
1 - 2
IND
36%
27%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
TAU
4 - 1
IND
36%
27%
38%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
IND
2 - 1
CHO
56%
23%
21%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |