UMECIT vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
47.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
18
9º
12º
9º
30
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
30 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 27 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 22 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 20 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 20 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
18 | 19 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 7
UME
12%
22%
66%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TAU
0 - 1
UME
60%
26%
15%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
CDE
2 - 3
UME
31%
28%
41%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SMA
2 - 3
UME
19%
26%
56%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
0 - 0
UME
67%
22%
12%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
AMA
54%
25%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2023 |
IND
0 - 0
TAU
50%
27%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
AFC
0 - 1
IND
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
SMI
1 - 2
IND
44%
27%
30%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
COS
1 - 1
IND
31%
28%
41%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |