UMECIT vs Herrera FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
50.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
6º
12º
9º
8
8º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
31 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 27 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
23 | 23 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UMECIT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
UME
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
UME
0 - 0
IND
23%
25%
53%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 1
CHO
32%
27%
41%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
UME
0 - 2
SFF
30%
29%
41%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
UME
1 - 1
CHO
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
AZU
3 - 3
SFF
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
CHO
4 - 2
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
SUN
0 - 0
AZU
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2024 |
IND
1 - 0
AZU
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2024 |
AZU
1 - 2
AMA
46%
26%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |