UM Escobedo vs CD Naval analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
11.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
COM
1 - 0
ESC
34%
28%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
ESC
0 - 0
RIB
81%
14%
6%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
PON
0 - 0
ESC
43%
27%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
ESC
4 - 2
SEL
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
COL
1 - 2
ESC
18%
27%
56%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Naval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1991 |
NAV
1 - 0
MAR
74%
17%
9%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1991 |
NAV
2 - 1
COM
55%
25%
20%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1991 |
RIB
2 - 1
NAV
31%
27%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1991 |
NAV
1 - 2
PON
46%
27%
28%
|
22 | 24 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1991 |
SEL
1 - 1
NAV
54%
24%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |