SSV Ulm vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.6%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
4.2%
10.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.7%
83.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
11%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.5%
0-4
8.4%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
12.9%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.9%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
7.4%
0-6
2.6%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.6%
0-7
1.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.5%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.6%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Ulm
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2018 |
ULM
1 - 1
SAA
28%
24%
48%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
FRE
2 - 0
ULM
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ULM
2 - 1
FSV
61%
21%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HES
2 - 2
ULM
16%
22%
62%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2018 |
ULM
2 - 1
HOF
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
F95
0 - 3
WOL
24%
26%
51%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2018 |
EIN
7 - 1
F95
66%
20%
14%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
F95
0 - 2
S04
17%
21%
62%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FCN
3 - 0
F95
45%
24%
31%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
F95
1 - 2
LEV
18%
22%
61%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | -1 |