Ullern vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ullern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
SIK
1 - 4
ULL
62%
19%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ULL
1 - 2
IKJ
16%
19%
65%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
GOF
5 - 2
ULL
51%
21%
28%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
ULL
3 - 1
IFL
51%
22%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MJO
3 - 1
ULL
17%
19%
64%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
FOL
2 - 1
STR
58%
21%
21%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
ASK
2 - 2
FOL
38%
23%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
KVI
1 - 4
FOL
20%
20%
59%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
EID
5 - 2
FOL
64%
18%
18%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ULL
2 - 1
FOL
56%
21%
23%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |