Kurilovec vs Novigrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Kurilovec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
NUK
0 - 2
DUB
24%
25%
52%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NKJ
0 - 0
NUK
56%
21%
23%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
NUK
0 - 0
TRN
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
DUG
1 - 1
NUK
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2018 |
JAP
1 - 4
NUK
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Novigrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
JAP
2 - 0
NOV
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 3
ZAG
49%
24%
27%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
PON
1 - 0
NOV
19%
19%
62%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
NOV
7 - 0
ZAG
82%
13%
6%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
MAK
2 - 1
NOV
25%
24%
51%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | -1 |