UDI '19 vs Kruisland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
35.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
7º
4º
24
12º
16º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UDI '19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
VEN
0 - 3
UDI
82%
11%
7%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
UDI
0 - 6
FCO
8%
16%
77%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 2
OJC
10%
18%
72%
|
31 | 49 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
ADO
3 - 1
UDI
85%
11%
4%
|
31 | 60 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
UDI
1 - 2
USV
6%
15%
80%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Kruisland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SCK
4 - 4
WIT
32%
21%
47%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
SCK
7 - 3
TAC
41%
22%
37%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +3 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 3
SCK
45%
21%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 0
TZA
56%
20%
24%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 0
RKV
37%
21%
42%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +2 |