Mutilvera vs River Ega analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mutilvera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
PEN
3 - 2
UDM
24%
26%
50%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 0
ATL
52%
24%
24%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
UDM
1 - 1
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
SJU
2 - 3
UDM
39%
29%
32%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
UDM
2 - 2
IDO
72%
18%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
River Ega
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
RIV
2 - 0
PEÑ
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
MUR
3 - 1
RIV
29%
28%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
1 - 1
HUA
52%
24%
23%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
CDA
0 - 0
RIV
33%
25%
41%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RIV
3 - 1
OBE
55%
24%
22%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |