Mérida B vs Lobos BUAP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
30.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mérida B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 1
MER
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
MER
1 - 1
IND
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
NEC
1 - 0
MER
71%
21%
9%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lobos BUAP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2011 |
LOB
0 - 1
DOR
47%
25%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
ALT
0 - 0
LOB
40%
27%
32%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
LOB
1 - 0
CAZ
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
LOB
2 - 1
ORI
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
DUR
2 - 4
LOB
49%
25%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |