Marbella FC vs Español de Alquián analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+432%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Marbella FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
35%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
LOJ
26%
26%
48%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
EST
3 - 3
MAR
29%
25%
45%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
LIN
0 - 1
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 1
RON
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Español de Alquián
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 1
LIN
35%
24%
41%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
RON
2 - 3
ALQ
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 2
MAR
55%
22%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 2
ALQ
55%
23%
23%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
ALQ
1 - 0
ATA
37%
24%
39%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |