Lanzarote vs Tijarafe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
11.3%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lanzarote
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
SDT
1 - 0
LAN
18%
23%
59%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
LAN
2 - 0
CDT
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
LPA
2 - 2
LAN
38%
26%
37%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
VSB
1 - 0
LAN
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
LAN
3 - 0
76%
15%
9%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Tijarafe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2011 |
UDT
2 - 1
VER
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
RSI
2 - 1
UDT
31%
26%
44%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
REA
1 - 3
UDT
28%
26%
46%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2011 |
UDT
1 - 2
SDT
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
CDT
1 - 0
UDT
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |